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Cost Effective Analysis of Second Line Therapies in Relapsed Refractory Multiple Myeloma in Indian Scenario

@ Indian Myeloma Congress, 2018

Suman Kumar, Army Hospital (Research & Referral), New Delhi

10 Feb 2017

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Introduction

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Background

  • Incurable malignancy of plasma cells

  • Most patients diagnosed above 55 years

  • Chronic disease with multiple remissions and relapses

  • Negative impact on patient's overall health related QoL

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Relapsed Refractory Multiple Myeloma

  • Improved survival in past 20 years (5 years survival 29.2% in 1992 to 50.2% in 2012)1

  • It remains incurable with multiple relapses with multiple lines of treatment

  • Very poor prognosis with median OS of 9 months2

  • Recently Novel Agents approved for RRMM

    • Pomalidomide (IMId)
    • Daratumumab (anti CD 38 antibody)
    • Carfilzomib (Proteosome Inhibitor)
    • Panobinostat (HDAc inhibitor)
  • Major economic burden on individuals and society

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References

  1. CAAC:CAAC21332
  2. After previous reference

Parent Study

Christopher G. Pelligra, Kejal Parikh, Shien Guo et al.

Cost-effectiveness of Pomalidomide, Carfilzomib, and Daratumumab for the Treatment of Patients with Heavily Pretreated Relapsed–refractory Multiple Myeloma in the United States

Clinical Therapeutics, Volume 39, Issue 10, 2017

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0149291817308998

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Conduct of study

  • Compared three protocols

  • Multiple relapsed or refractory patients (Median previous therapies: 5)

  • Absence of head to head comparison trial

  • Matching adjusted indirect comparison done to get unbiased estimate of relative efficacy

  • Parametric fits were made for POMd arm of MM-002 data and HR were derived for DARA and CARF from their respective trials

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State diagram for outcomes

28 days cycles

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Distribution of second line therapies (in %)

Initial Line POM-d DARA CAR LEN-d BORT THAL-d PanVD
POM-d 0 7.5 38.4 22.2 17.8 6.6 7.5
DARA 40.2 0 24.8 14.4 11.5 4.3 4.8
CARF 50.2 6.0 0 18.0 14.4 5.4 6.0
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Definitions of outcome measures

Progression free survival

Time from randomisation to disease progression (IMWG criteria) or death

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Definitions of outcome measures

Progression free survival

Time from randomisation to disease progression (IMWG criteria) or death

Post progression survival

Time from disease progression till death

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Definitions of outcome measures

Progression free survival

Time from randomisation to disease progression (IMWG criteria) or death

Post progression survival

Time from disease progression till death

Fatal progression probability

Per cycle probability that a patient in PF state would die

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Definitions of outcome measures

Premature treatment discontinuation

Time from randomisation till discontinuation of treatment prior to disease progression due to unacceptable toxicity, patient's preference or other reasons

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Definitions of outcome measures

Premature treatment discontinuation

Time from randomisation till discontinuation of treatment prior to disease progression due to unacceptable toxicity, patient's preference or other reasons

Adverse Events

4 adverse events included (Grade 3/4, occuring in > 5% of patients on treatment)

  • Anemia
  • Fatigue
  • Neutropenia
  • Thrombocytopenia

Percentages converted to monthly incidence rates

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Utilities

Weights assigned to each state for calculating QALM lived

  • PF state: 0.7 to 0.76

  • PP state decrement: -0.084 to -0.025

  • AE decrement: -0.049 to -0.009

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Present Study

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Definitions and Assumptions

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Outcome parameters

  • All outcome parameters taken from the Parent trial

  • Adverse event parameters were derived from the percentages given in the original trials and converted into per cycle incidence rates

  • Fatigue was not considered as AE

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Economic parameters

  • All costings were done with Jan 2018, which was taken as base time

  • All costings were converted to per cycle unit costs

  • Annual inflation rate of 3.5% to 6% was assumed

  • Annual discount rate of 3% was used

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Subclassification of costs

  • Regimen associated costs (= Regimen cost + Cost of adjuncts)

  • Cost of prophylaxis (VTE/Herpes) (= Cost of adjunct)

  • Cost of AEs (= PRBC txn + Plt txn + GCSF administration + 7 days of 3rd generation cephalosporin [10% of neutropenia])

  • Health care resource cost stratified according to health state (= Clinical Visits + CBC + Biochemistry + SPEP/SFLC/SIFE)

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Regimen related costs (per cycle)

Regimens Variable Cost (INR), (unit) Fixed Cost (INR)
POM-d - 20080.00
DARA (cycles 1-2) 2400.00, (per kg) 4200.00
DARA (cycles 3-6) 1200.00, (per kg) 2100.00
DARA (cycles > 6) 600.00, (per kg) 1050.00
CARF (cycle 1) 24675.30, (per sq m) -
CARF (cycles 2-12) 26973.00, (per sq m) -
CARF (cycles > 12) 17982.00 (per sq m) -
LEN-d - 15788.00
BORT - 45200.00
THAL-d - 7568.00
PAN-V-d (cycles 1-8) - 110280.00
PAN-V-d (cycles > 8) - 87640.00
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Regimen related costs (per cycle)

Cost of Prophylaxis

  • VTE: (90% on Aspirin and rest on Enoxaparin) INR 1459.20

  • Antiviral: INR 360.00

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Cost of AEs (per episode)

Anemia

  • 2 units of PRBC transfusion
  • INR 2100.00

Neutropenia

  • 5 days of GCSF transfusion and 7 days of 3rd generation cephalosporin (10% of neutropenia)
  • INR 5000.00

Thrombocytopenia

  • 1 unit of SDP/6 units of PRP
  • INR 1800.00
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Health care resource utilisation cost (per cycle)

Headings Unit Cost (INR) PFS (T+) PFS (T-) PPS
Hematologist clinical visit 1000.00 2000.00 1000.00 3000.00
Full Blood Count 350.00 700.00 350.00 1050.00
Biochemistry (RFT/LFT) 1400.00 2800.00 1400.00 4200.00
SPEP 700.00 233.33 116.67 233.33
SIFE 5000.00 1666.67 833.33 1666.67
SFLC 6500.00 2166.67 1083.33 2166.67
Total - 9566.67 4783.33 12316.67
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Conduct of Study

(Computer simulation study)

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Sample Size

  • Horizon of 3 years was chosen for the simulation (stable economic condition). Patients were censored after 36 months.

  • 100 patients for each of the 3 arms

  • Total of 500 simulations were done

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Few examples (POM-d arm)

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Results

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Clinical Outcomes

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Median Overall Survival (months)

init_reg mean_median_surv 95LCL 95UCL 25centile 75centile
pomd 17.1570 13.3333 21.3575 15.8512 18.4071
dara 17.0114 13.5000 21.0000 15.6667 18.3333
carf 16.7497 13.5000 20.6667 15.5000 18.0000
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Overall Survival at 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, 36 months

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Median Progression Free Survival (months)

init_reg mean_median_pfs 95LCL 95UCL 25centile 75centile
pomd 17.1425 13.3333 21.3575 15.8000 18.4000
dara 17.0007 13.5000 20.8812 15.6667 18.2708
carf 16.7488 13.5000 20.6667 15.5000 18.0000
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PFS at 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, 36months

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Progression Free Life Months (PFLM)

init_reg med_pfm 95LCL 95UCL 25tile 75tile
carf 4 3 4 3 4.0
dara 4 3 5 4 4.0
pomd 4 3 5 4 4.5
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Quality Adjusted Life Months (QALM)

init_reg med_qalm 95LCL 95UCL 25tile 75tile
carf 11.0293 8.8127 13.7548 10.2393 11.9131
dara 11.2297 9.0112 13.7750 10.3453 12.1640
pomd 11.3767 8.9134 14.0928 10.5132 12.2253
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No difference in clinical efficacy between all three arms

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Economic Outcomes

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Regimen associated Discounted Cost

init_reg med_cost_month 95LCL 95UCL 25tile 75tile
dara 55143.72 48638.94 63355.32 52726.57 57723.10
pomd 32370.84 21656.73 37982.45 29379.04 34890.15
carf 25769.79 23650.16 29015.03 24905.19 26911.36
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Cost per QALM

init_reg med_cost_qalm 95LCL 95UCL 25tile 75tile
dara 86609.35 76026.52 99518.78 82721.20 90635.68
pomd 55897.85 44735.16 61518.81 51986.42 58222.93
carf 41495.18 37974.16 47988.91 40129.71 43575.42
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Conclusions

  • All the three treatment arms are equally effective clinically

  • Daratumumab has the highest median cost per QALM lived of INR 86609.00 (95% CI: 76027.00 - 99519.00). Incremental cost per QALM lived is INR 30711.00 than POM-d

  • Carfilzomib has the lowest median cost per QALM lived of INR 41495.00 (95% CI: 37974.00 - 47989.00). Incremental cost per QALM lived is INR (- 14403.00) than POM-d

  • Pomalidomide dexamethasone has the median cost per QALM lived of INR 55897.85 (95% CI: 44735.16 - 61518.81)

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Thank You

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Introduction

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